skills.rest
OctagonAI
OctagonAIOFFICIAL
Explore all skills by this author →
WebsiteGitHub

prediction-markets-analysis

Generate prediction market research reports using Octagon Prediction Markets Agent.

130|13|Updated Feb 2, 2026
Search Tags:#research#kalshi#prediction-markets#live-data#mispricing#octagon-mcp#market-probability
One-click install
npx skills add https://github.com/OctagonAI/skills --skill prediction-markets-analysis
Or copy as Structured Prompt for Agent▼
Please help me install this Agent Skill.
Skill: prediction-markets-analysis
Source: https://github.com/OctagonAI/skills/tree/main/skills/prediction-markets-analysis
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/OctagonAI/skills --skill prediction-markets-analysis

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

💡 This Skill includes references (resource) components.

What problem does it solve?

Prediction-market analysis often requires gathering disparate live market data, tracking model probabilities, catalysts, and historical outcomes, then turning that into a structured, actionable research report. This skill automates that workflow, delivering a consolidated analysis ready for decision making.

Core Features & Use Cases

  • Market-vs-Model Probability: Compute independent probability and compare to live market prices.
  • Event-Driven Research: Identify catalysts and key claims driving outcomes.
  • Historical Resolution Tracking: Provide context using past resolutions.
  • Contract Snapshots: Return live bid/ask, last price, volume, open interest.
  • Broad Coverage: 120+ markets across Politics, Economics, Crypto, Sports, Entertainment, Climate.

Quick Start

Provide a Kalshi market URL to generate a complete prediction-market research report.

Frequently Asked Questions about prediction-markets-analysis

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema
How does prediction market mispricing analysis work?▼

Yes, prediction market analysis compares independent model probabilities against live market prices to identify mispricing. This skill automates calculating those probabilities and evaluating price drivers, catalysts, and historical resolutions for your research.

Do I need Octagon MCP to analyze prediction market probabilities?▼

You can analyze live prediction market data without manual gathering by inputting a Kalshi market URL. The skill returns contract snapshots including live bid/ask, last price, volume, and open interest alongside its independent probability analysis.

What prediction market events and categories are supported for analysis?▼

Yes, you need Octagon MCP configured in your environment to analyze prediction market probabilities. The skill relies on this connection to fetch live market data and generate fresh, cached, or force-refreshed research reports across multiple event categories.

Can I use cached results or force refresh prediction market reports?▼

Prediction market analysis covers 120+ markets spanning Politics, Economics, Crypto, Sports, Entertainment, and Climate. The skill evaluates event-driven catalysts, key claims driving outcomes, and historical resolution tracking across these categories.

Can I use cached results or force refresh prediction market reports?▼

Yes, you can use cached results, force refresh, or generate fresh prediction market reports. The skill supports these variants to manage data retrieval efficiency when evaluating live bid/ask prices, volume, and market probabilities.

Related Skills

Explore More Data & Analytics Skills→
enunoenuno

Monitor Prediction Markets

Monitor real-time price, volume, and comments in Polymarket and Kalshi markets.

Community
Advanced
AlphaGBMAlphaGBM
1.7k

alphagbm-polymarket

Compare Polymarket probabilities with options-implied probabilities to surface mispricing signals.

Community
Advanced
pinion05pinion05
3

yahoo-finance

Retrieve real-time and historical Yahoo Finance market data via yahoo-finance2 modules.

Community
Intermediate
pmcdowallpmcdowall

polymarket

Retrieve Polymarket market data and convert prices into readable probabilities.

Community
Intermediate