research

Query historical data, base rates, and resolution rules for prediction markets.

650|137|Updated Jan 26, 2026
One-click install
npx skills add https://github.com/alsk1992/CloddsBot --skill research-alsk1992
Or copy as Structured Prompt for Agent
Please help me install this Agent Skill.
Skill: research
Source: https://github.com/alsk1992/CloddsBot/tree/main/src/skills/bundled/research
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/alsk1992/CloddsBot --skill research-alsk1992

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

💡 This Skill includes scripts (resource) components.

What problem does it solve?

This Skill helps users research prediction markets by providing base rates, resolution rules, and historical data, enabling more informed trading decisions.

Core Features & Use Cases

  • Base Rate Lookup: Find historical win rates or probabilities for similar events.
  • Resolution Rules: Understand how a specific market is set to resolve.
  • Historical Analogs: Discover past markets similar to current ones for context.
  • Use Case: A user wants to know the likelihood of an incumbent senator losing reelection. The skill can provide historical data and identify similar past markets.

Quick Start

Use the research skill to look up the base rate for incumbent senators losing reelection.

Frequently Asked Questions about research

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema
How do I find historical base rates for prediction markets?

To find historical base rates for prediction markets, query a market index service to retrieve past win rates and probabilities for similar events, enabling more informed trading decisions.

What are resolution rules in prediction markets and how do I check them?

Resolution rules in prediction markets define how a specific market is set to resolve. You can check them by querying the market index service to understand the specific conditions for resolution.

Can I find historical analogs for current political prediction markets?

Yes, you can discover past markets similar to current ones for context. The skill identifies historical analogs by querying a market index service, providing data like the likelihood of an incumbent senator losing reelection.

Does this research skill work for economic and event-based prediction markets?

Yes, the research skill facilitates informed decision-making for users interested in political, economic, and event-based prediction markets by querying historical data, base rates, and resolution rules.

What is the best way to research prediction markets before trading?

The best way to research prediction markets is to look up base rates, check resolution rules, and find historical analogs using a market index service for efficient data retrieval and analysis.