scenario-analysis

Official

Structured investment scenario forecasts.

Authorintelligent-alpha
Version1.0.0
Installs0

System Documentation

What problem does it solve?

Investment teams often struggle to quantify uncertainty and compare alternative outcomes for a deal. This skill generates balanced, structured scenarios (bull, base, and bear) with explicit assumptions, milestones, and metrics to inform the IC memo and decision process.

Core Features & Use Cases

  • Generates three explicit scenarios (bull/base/bear) with clearly stated assumptions, expected outcomes, and maneuvering milestones.
  • Produces per-scenario "metrics to watch" indicators and a disciplined probability framing to support governance and risk assessment.
  • Integrates with diligence outputs, family philosophy, and overlays to produce a coherent, source-backed forecast that feeds the IC memo workflow and adversarial testing (devil-advocate).

Quick Start

Execute scenario-analysis for a deal to generate three structured forecasts (bull, base, bear) and emit the results to deals/{deal-id}.md for memo drafting.

Dependency Matrix

Required Modules

None required

Components

Standard package

💻 Claude Code Installation

Recommended: Let Claude install automatically. Simply copy and paste the text below to Claude Code.

Please help me install this Skill:
Name: scenario-analysis
Download link: https://github.com/intelligent-alpha/plugins/archive/main.zip#scenario-analysis

Please download this .zip file, extract it, and install it in the .claude/skills/ directory.
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