What problem does it solve? Founders often commit resources to strategies that only work under one assumed future. This Skill structures strategic scenario planning so decisions remain robust across plausible market, technology, regulatory, and competitive outcomes, with evidence, confidence levels, and approval boundaries attached to every recommendation. ## Core Features & Use Cases - Scenario Construction: Defines focal uncertainties, identifies critical forces, and builds distinct scenarios, then tests the current strategy in each one. - Risk-Adjusted Decision Rules: Ranks options by constraint compliance, risk-adjusted expected value, confidence, time-to-value, and reversibility, with hard-constraint rejection logic. - Signposts and Contingent Moves: Produces leading indicators, stop/scale conditions, escalation paths, and a decision record for ongoing monitoring. - Use Case: A founder weighing expansion into a new market asks for a scenario plan. The Skill loads the company profile, industry context, and Digital Twin, simulates primary, downside, and stress cases, and recommends the option with the highest confidence-weighted value that passes every hard constraint. ## Quick Start Ask the agent to run strategic scenario planning for a specific decision, stating the objective, decision horizon, and hard constraints such as cash or risk limits.
