What problem does it solve? Research programmes face strategic choices — paper structure, robustness checks, baselines, methods trade-offs — where committing too early leads to reviewer objections, scope creep, or costly rework. This Skill runs structured pre-decision risk analysis so each option is examined from best, worst, and reviewer-hostile angles before it becomes a task brief. ## Core Features & Use Cases - Six-branch scenario analysis: Evaluates every option across best case, likely case, worst case, reviewer-hostile case, maintenance-cost case, and paper-scope-risk case. - Lock enforcement: Detects options foreclosed by locked conventions, contracts, or pre-registrations and removes them instead of reopening settled decisions. - Actionable output record: Produces a recommendation with named residual risks and a defined next step — a task brief, a user decision point, or dropping the option. - Use Case: When deciding whether a methods paper should include a conventional baseline, run the six branches to surface the reviewer-hostile objection ("why wasn't this pre-registered?") and scope-leak risks, then convert the surviving recommendation into a task brief. ## Quick Start Ask the assistant to stress-test a research decision such as whether to add a robustness check to a paper, and request the six-branch analysis with a recommendation.
