uncertainty-calibration

Evaluate evidence strength and output a Confidence Decision with Uncertainties list.

11|3|Updated Feb 2, 2026
One-click install
npx skills add https://github.com/gqy20/IssueLab --skill uncertainty-calibration
Or copy as Structured Prompt for Agent
Please help me install this Agent Skill.
Skill: uncertainty-calibration
Source: https://github.com/gqy20/IssueLab/tree/main/.claude/skills/uncertainty-calibration
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/gqy20/IssueLab --skill uncertainty-calibration

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

What problem does it solve?

This skill helps calibrate confidence by evaluating the strength and credibility of supporting evidence, and documenting uncertainty for informed decision-making.

Core Features & Use Cases

  • Evidence strength assessment: categorize into high/medium/low with rationale
  • Structured output: Confidence Decision and Uncertainties sections for auditability
  • Use Case: Research reviews, policy analysis, and risk assessment where evidence is partial or conflicting

Quick Start

To use this skill, provide a set of evidence statements and request a confidence assessment based on their strength.

Frequently Asked Questions about uncertainty-calibration

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema
How do I calibrate confidence when evaluating conflicting research evidence?

Confidence calibration evaluates the strength of supporting evidence and documents uncertainty to inform decision-making. It categorizes evidence into high, medium, or low strength, outputting a structured Confidence Decision and Uncertainties list for research reviews and policy analysis.

What is the best way to document uncertainty for policy analysis?

Document uncertainty for policy analysis by generating a structured output that includes a Confidence Decision with its level and rationale, alongside an Uncertainties list. This provides auditable results by evaluating evidence strength in partial or conflicting information scenarios.

How do I assess evidence strength for decision-making tasks?

Assess evidence strength for decision-making tasks by providing evidence statements to evaluate, categorizing their credibility into high, medium, or low levels with rationale. This generates a structured Confidence Decision to guide choices involving partial or conflicting information.

Does evidence strength assessment work for risk assessment with partial information?

Yes, evidence strength assessment works for risk assessment with partial information by categorizing available evidence into high, medium, or low strength with rationale. It outputs a Confidence Decision and Uncertainties list to manage conflicting information scenarios.

What format does confidence calibration output for auditability?

Confidence calibration outputs a structured result formatted for auditability, specifically including a Confidence Decision section with the confidence level and rationale, and an Uncertainties list documenting remaining unknowns.