Analyzes NOAA forecasts and Polymarket data to identify and execute weather bets.
npx skills add https://github.com/alsk1992/CloddsBot --skill weather-alsk1992
Please help me install this Agent Skill. Skill: weather Source: https://github.com/alsk1992/CloddsBot/tree/main/src/skills/bundled/weather Command: npx skills add https://github.com/alsk1992/CloddsBot --skill weather-alsk1992
This Skill helps users find profitable opportunities on weather prediction markets by leveraging official NOAA forecasts to identify discrepancies between predicted outcomes and market prices.
Use the weather skill to scan all active weather markets for betting opportunities with at least a 10% edge.
High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.
You can automatically scan active Polymarket weather markets to identify betting edges by comparing NOAA forecasts against market prices. This skill quantifies the edge to highlight opportunities with a significant discrepancy.
NOAA forecast data integrates with Polymarket by analyzing official weather predictions for major US cities and comparing them to active market prices. The skill uses this data to calculate betting edges and execute trades via the Polymarket API.
Position sizing for weather betting is calculated using a conservative quarter-Kelly criterion strategy. This approach adjusts your bet size based on the calculated edge between the NOAA forecast and the Polymarket price, minimizing risk while maximizing growth.
This Polymarket betting tool supports temperature, precipitation, snow, and record-breaking weather events across major US cities. It uses NOAA data to analyze these specific weather outcomes and identify trading edges in corresponding prediction markets.
Yes, you can automate betting on Polymarket weather markets using NOAA forecasts. The skill identifies high-edge opportunities and optionally places bets automatically via the Polymarket API, utilizing a quarter-Kelly criterion for position sizing.
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