weather

Analyze NOAA forecasts against Polymarket weather markets to calculate edge and execute bets.

71|22|Updated Apr 6, 2020
One-click install
npx skills add https://github.com/nirholas/agenti --skill weather-nirholas
Or copy as Structured Prompt for Agent
Please help me install this Agent Skill.
Skill: weather
Source: https://github.com/nirholas/agenti/tree/main/packages/protocols/x402-cloddsbot/src/skills/bundled/weather
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/nirholas/agenti --skill weather-nirholas

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

What problem does it solve?

Weather betting requires aligning market prices with authoritative forecasts; this skill automates the process of analyzing NOAA forecasts against Polymarket weather markets to identify edge opportunities and place bets.

Core Features & Use Cases

  • Forecast NOAA weather forecasts and match them to Polymarket weather markets to calculate edge.
  • Scan active markets, compute edge, and execute bets with safety checks and simulated or live modes.
  • Real-world example: Imagine forecasting NYC weather and identifying markets where NOAA probability diverges from market prices to place profitable bets.

Quick Start

Ask the weather skill to forecast a city to retrieve NOAA data and review edge opportunities.

Frequently Asked Questions about weather

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema
How do I find betting edge on Polymarket weather markets using NOAA forecasts?

This skill automates edge analysis by retrieving NOAA forecasts, matching them to active Polymarket weather markets, and calculating probability divergence for temperature, precipitation, and snow markets to identify profitable betting opportunities.

What is the process for calculating market edge from NOAA weather data?

Calculating market edge from NOAA weather data involves fetching official forecasts, matching them to active Polymarket weather markets, and computing the divergence between NOAA probabilities and current market prices. This skill automates that entire workflow modularly.

Can I execute live bets on Polymarket weather markets automatically?

Yes, you can execute live bets on Polymarket weather markets automatically. This skill supports both live and simulated betting modes, applying safety checks and environment-based configuration before placing bets on identified edge opportunities.

Does this weather betting tool support simulated markets for testing strategies?

Yes, this weather betting tool supports simulated markets for testing strategies. It applies edge calculation and decision logic across both live and simulated Polymarket weather markets, allowing safe operation without risking actual funds.

What types of weather markets can I analyze with NOAA forecast data?

You can analyze major city markets for temperature, precipitation, and snow using NOAA forecast data. The skill retrieves official weather forecasts and matches them against these active Polymarket weather market types to compute edge.

How do I configure safe operations when automating Polymarket weather bets?

You configure safe operations for automating Polymarket weather bets using environment-based configuration and built-in error handling. The skill applies safety checks during decision logic and bet execution to prevent unintended live trades.