what-if-oracle

Map uncertain futures into multi-branch scenarios with probabilities and consequences.

4|Updated Mar 2, 2026
One-click install
npx skills add https://github.com/shushuzn/Rairos --skill what-if-oracle-shushuzn
Or copy as Structured Prompt for Agent
Please help me install this Agent Skill.
Skill: what-if-oracle
Source: https://github.com/shushuzn/Rairos/tree/main/skills/what-if-oracle
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/shushuzn/Rairos --skill what-if-oracle-shushuzn

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

💡 This Skill includes references (resource) components.

What problem does it solve?

What-If Oracle helps you replace vague speculation with structured possibility-space analysis so you can anticipate outcomes, risks, and downstream effects before taking action.

Core Features & Use Cases

  • Multi-branch scenario mapping: Generate 4–6 distinct branches (best, likely, worst, wild card, contrarian, second-order) to cover upside, baseline, downside, and surprises.
  • Actionable decision support: For each branch, define probability, timeframe, confidence, assumptions, trigger conditions, consequences at multiple horizons, and required response.
  • Synthesis for execution: Produce a probability distribution plus no-regret robust actions, worst-case hedges, decision tripwires, and the “1% insight” to avoid common blind spots.
  • Use cases: strategic planning, risk analysis, crisis preparedness, investment alternatives, product or technology decisions, and “fork-in-the-road” choices under uncertainty.

Quick Start

Ask for a Deep Oracle by saying: "Run a What-If Oracle for what would happen if our key assumption changes by X% over Y months, and include best, likely, worst, wild card, contrarian, and second-order branches with triggers and responses."

Frequently Asked Questions about what-if-oracle

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema
What is structured what-if scenario analysis for strategic planning?

What-if scenario analysis maps an uncertain future into a multi-branch possibility space with probabilities and consequences, replacing vague speculation with structured branch-by-branch narratives for strategic planning decisions.

How do I run a what-if analysis for risk assessment and contingency planning?

Run a what-if analysis by specifying your speculative question or changing assumption; the system generates 4–6 distinct branches with probabilities, trigger conditions, and time-phased consequences to support risk assessment and contingency planning.

Can I use probability mapping for fork-in-the-road decisions under uncertainty?

Yes, probability mapping evaluates fork-in-the-road decisions by generating best, likely, worst, wild card, contrarian, and second-order branches with confidence levels and synthesized hedge actions for uncertainty.

What's the best way to stress-test business plans against multiple outcomes?

Stress-testing business plans requires mapping multi-branch scenarios with trigger conditions and time-phased consequences; this approach synthesizes robust actions, worst-case hedges, and decision tripwires across outcomes.

Does what-if modeling work for personal context decisions or only business strategy?

What-if modeling applies to business, technology, and personal contexts, generating branch-by-branch narratives with assumptions and trigger conditions for any speculative question or fork-in-the-road choice.

When should I avoid using scenario analysis for decision support?

Avoid scenario analysis when dealing with deterministic outcomes lacking uncertainty; the tool requires speculative what-if questions where multiple branches, probability mapping, and contingency planning provide meaningful decision support.