What problem does it solve? Speculative questions like "what if this fails?" or "what could go wrong?" often get vague, single-track answers. This Skill turns any uncertain-future question into a structured possibility map with multiple scenario branches, probability estimates, and concrete action plans, so decisions are stress-tested before commitment. ## Core Features & Use Cases - Multi-Branch Scenario Mapping: Generates 4-6 scenario branches (Best Case, Likely Case, Worst Case, Wild Card, Contrarian, Second Order), each with probability, narrative, key assumptions, trigger conditions, consequences, and required responses. - Question Sharpening: Decomposes vague what-if questions into a precise variable, magnitude, timeframe, and context before analysis begins. - Synthesis & Decision Support: Produces a probability distribution, robust no-regret actions, hedge actions, decision triggers, and a non-obvious insight, with golden-ratio weighting for resource allocation. - Flexible Modes: Quick Oracle (3 branches), Deep Oracle (6 branches), Scenario Chain (recursive depth), Reverse Oracle (goal-backward), and Competitive Oracle (multi-stakeholder perspectives). - Use Case: A founder asks "what if our main supplier raises prices 30% next quarter?" The Skill maps best/likely/worst/wild-card branches, assigns probabilities, defines early-warning signals, and lists actions that pay off across multiple futures. ## Quick Start Ask the assistant to run a what-if scenario analysis on a decision you are facing, for example by saying "Run a Deep Oracle on what happens if we launch our product two months early."
