WorldThreatModel

Stress-test ideas against 11 world threat horizons from 6 months to 50 years.

1|Updated Apr 16, 2026
One-click install
npx skills add https://github.com/davdunc/pai-framework --skill worldthreatmodel-davdunc
Or copy as Structured Prompt for Agent
Please help me install this Agent Skill.
Skill: WorldThreatModel
Source: https://github.com/davdunc/pai-framework/tree/main/skills/WorldThreatModel
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/davdunc/pai-framework --skill worldthreatmodel-davdunc

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

What problem does it solve?

This Skill helps you evaluate how an idea, strategy, or investment could fail or succeed across multiple future horizons by grounding the analysis in persistent world-model documents.

Core Features & Use Cases

  • Persistent 11-horizon world models: Maintains horizon-specific analyses from 6 months to 50 years in $PAI_DIR/MEMORY/RESEARCH/WorldModels/.
  • Tiered threat testing workflows: Runs Fast, Standard, or Deep modes to balance speed vs. depth using horizon-parallel analysis, adversarial review, and debate.
  • Action-oriented outputs: Produces a probability-weighted, horizon-by-horizon viability assessment (including assumptions tested, adversarial findings, and cross-horizon synthesis depending on tier).

Quick Start

Ask: "test my idea that {your idea in one sentence} against all world threat models in standard tier."

Frequently Asked Questions about WorldThreatModel

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema
What is threat analysis for long-term investment risk and how does it work?

Threat analysis for investment risk stress-tests ideas against persistent world models spanning 11 time horizons up to 50 years. It decomposes assumptions and runs per-horizon adversarial reviews to produce probability-weighted viability assessments.

How do I stress-test a strategy against multiple future time horizons?

To stress-test a strategy, submit your idea to run against 11 horizon-specific world models. The analysis decomposes your assumptions and applies adversarial review across each temporal horizon to identify potential failures.

Can I run scenario planning for strategic planning across 50 year time horizons?

Yes, scenario planning supports temporal viability analysis from 6 months to 50 years. You select Fast, Standard, or Deep tier modes to balance processing speed against the depth of cross-horizon synthesis.

Does adversarial review for strategic planning require specific world modeling documents?

Adversarial review requires reading horizon model documents stored in $PAI_DIR/MEMORY/RESEARCH/WorldModels/. These persistent world modeling files provide the baseline scenarios required to execute the per-horizon analysis.

What is the best way to evaluate long-term investment risk across changing world models?

The best way to evaluate investment risk is using probability-weighted, horizon-by-horizon viability assessments. This approach applies adversarial analysis across 11 distinct time horizons to discover potential strategic failures.

When should I avoid using deep tier mode for threat analysis?

Avoid Deep tier mode when you need rapid risk discovery or face time constraints. Choose Fast or Standard tier workflows instead to balance speed with sufficient scenario-based decision support for your planning needs.