What problem does it solve? Event organizers routinely commit venues, budgets, and reputations to conferences, meetups, and hackathons without knowing whether real demand exists. This Skill reads demand signals at three moments - before launch, while tickets are on sale, and after an edition - and composes them into a go, hold-and-fix, pivot, or stop call, separating genuine demand gaps from marketing-execution or pricing problems. ## Core Features & Use Cases - Pre-launch demand validation: Establishes a baseline from local meetup draw (2-3x multiplier), verified community-size thresholds, and saturation scans, then runs intent-filtering instruments like deposit-backed waitlists and CFP probes with pre-declared pass thresholds. - Mid-sale pace diagnosis: Instruments the sales curve weekly against a checkpoint ladder or pace index, and runs a differential to distinguish marketing-execution gaps, price misfit, and true demand gaps before any verdict. - Post-edition recur/scale reads: Tracks attendee return rate, sponsor renewal rate, and sellout-speed trend as three separate axes, catching events that acquire well but fail to retain. - Use Case: Your meetup draws 45 people and you want to launch a 250-seat paid conference. The Skill resets the expectation to roughly 90-135 seats, rejects free interest-form counts as curiosity rather than intent, and prescribes a CFP probe or deposit-backed waitlist with declared thresholds before any venue commitment. ## Quick Start Ask the assistant to validate whether there is enough demand to turn your local meetup into a paid conference, providing your meetup attendance, community size, and any existing sales or waitlist data.
