macro-analysis

Interpret macroeconomic data and central-bank policy to guide asset allocation tilts.

6.1k|1.2k|Updated Jun 9, 2022
One-click install
npx skills add https://github.com/charliedream1/ai_quant_trade --skill macro-analysis-charliedream1
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Please help me install this Agent Skill.
Skill: macro-analysis
Source: https://github.com/charliedream1/ai_quant_trade/tree/main/a_%E5%85%A8%E7%BD%91%E4%BC%98%E7%A7%80%E8%B5%84%E6%BA%90/10_%E5%A4%A7%E6%A8%A1%E5%9E%8B/07_skill%E5%8C%85/vibe_trading_skills/macro-analysis
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/charliedream1/ai_quant_trade --skill macro-analysis-charliedream1

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

What problem does it solve?

Interprets macroeconomic data and central-bank policy to position assets across major markets, helping traders and portfolio managers align exposures with the economic cycle.

Core Features & Use Cases

  • Cycle positioning: Assess GDP, PMI, inflation, money supply, and policy signals to determine current stage across China, the US, and Europe.
  • Policy interpretation: Translate central-bank actions into actionable tilts for equities, bonds, and currencies.
  • Use Case: Use this skill to construct a macro-driven asset-allocation plan during a policy tightening cycle to avoid late-cycle risk.

Quick Start

Run a macro-cycle analysis on the latest data to determine the current stage and recommended asset tilts.

Frequently Asked Questions about macro-analysis

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema
How do I interpret macroeconomic data for asset allocation tilts?

To interpret macroeconomic data for asset allocation, assess GDP, PMI, inflation, and money supply indicators to determine the current economic cycle stage and translate central-bank policy stances into actionable equity, bond, and currency tilts.

What's the best way to position portfolios during a central-bank policy tightening cycle?

Positioning portfolios during a central-bank policy tightening cycle requires classifying the macro cycle stage using CPI and PPI data, then applying an asset-tilt framework to reduce late-cycle risk across equities and fixed income.

Can I use GDP and PMI indicators to compare macro cycles across China, the US, and Europe?

Yes, you can use GDP and PMI indicators to compare macro cycles across China, the US, and Europe by evaluating their respective growth signals and central-bank policies to define regional cycle positions.

How does money supply M2 affect central-bank policy interpretation?

Money supply M2 affects central-bank policy interpretation by signaling liquidity conditions, which helps determine the policy stance and guides whether to tilt asset allocations toward risk-on or risk-off instruments.

When do I need a macro cycle analysis framework for asset allocation?

You need a macro cycle analysis framework for asset allocation when aligning exposures with economic shifts, requiring the synthesis of growth, inflation, and policy signals to avoid late-cycle risks and adjust portfolio tilts.

Does macro cycle analysis work without real-time central-bank policy signals?

Macro cycle analysis relies heavily on central-bank policy signals to define the policy stance; without them, accurately translating macroeconomic data into precise asset allocation tilts becomes highly limited.