macro-analysis

Assess macroeconomic cycles and derive asset allocation tilts for China, the US, and Eurozone.

Updated Apr 10, 2026
One-click install
npx skills add https://github.com/ebrahim-sani/trading-automation --skill macro-analysis-ebrahim-sani
Or copy as Structured Prompt for Agent
Please help me install this Agent Skill.
Skill: macro-analysis
Source: https://github.com/ebrahim-sani/trading-automation/tree/main/vibe-trading/agent/src/skills/macro-analysis
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/ebrahim-sani/trading-automation --skill macro-analysis-ebrahim-sani

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

What problem does it solve?

Provides a structured framework to interpret macroeconomic data and central-bank policy across China, the United States, and Europe, removing ambiguity when positioning major-asset allocations by cycle stage and policy direction.

Core Features & Use Cases

  • Core indicator synthesis: Integrates GDP, PMI, CPI/PPI, M2, credit metrics, yield curves, FX, and commodity signals to determine growth/inflation trends.
  • Cycle and policy framework: Maps indicators into a four-stage economic clock and translates Fed/PBOC/ECB communications into actionable easing/tightening signals.
  • Actionable outputs: Produces a concise cycle-stage verdict, central-bank interpretation, overweight/underweight asset tilts with rationale, time-lag estimates, and explicit risk warnings for portfolio decision-making.
  • Use case: Rebalance a multi-asset regional fund by overweighting China equities during early recovery while increasing bond duration in late-cycle recession signals.

Quick Start

Generate a macro environment assessment for China, the US, and Europe using the latest monthly and quarterly indicators and return cycle stage, central bank interpretation, recommended asset allocation tilts with rationale, and risk warnings.

Frequently Asked Questions about macro-analysis

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema
How do I use macroeconomic indicators to determine asset allocation tilts?

You determine asset allocation tilts by synthesizing GDP, PMI, CPI/PPI, M2, and yield curve signals into a four-stage economic clock, mapping the current cycle stage to specific overweight or underweight positions across major assets.

What is the macroeconomic cycle analysis process for China, the US, and Europe?

The macroeconomic cycle analysis process integrates regional PMI, inflation, GDP, and policy events to deliver a cycle stage determination, central bank policy interpretation, and explicit risk warnings for portfolio decision-making.

How do I interpret central bank policy signals for portfolio rebalancing?

Interpret central bank policy by translating Fed, PBOC, and ECB communications into actionable easing or tightening signals, then adjusting portfolio duration and regional equity weights based on the resulting policy direction.

Can I apply cycle analysis to regional funds using yield spreads and PMI data?

Yes, cycle analysis applies to regional funds by integrating yield spreads and PMI data to identify early recovery or late-cycle recession signals, guiding regional equity overweights and bond duration increases.

What are the limitations of using a macroeconomic clock for investment positioning?

Limitations include time-lag estimates between indicator shifts and market reactions, alongside explicit risk warnings; the framework requires accurate central bank communication interpretation to avoid misallocation.