What problem does it solve? Founders often cannot tell whether they will hit their revenue target because their pipeline is a raw list of deals with optimistic close dates and stalled opportunities. This Skill turns open deals into a defensible forecast with a confidence band, identifies where the pipeline leaks, and names the specific actions that close the gap. ## Core Features & Use Cases - Coverage & Conversion Diagnosis: Computes pipeline coverage ratio against the win-rate-required multiple and compares observed stage-by-stage conversion to targets, ranking leaks by lost value. - Weighted Forecast with Hygiene Flags: Builds a probability-weighted bookings forecast, reconciles it against a commit/best-case category view, applies a historical bias haircut, and flags stalled, quiet, slip-risk, and unqualified-but-advanced deals. - Risk & Gap Analysis: Quantifies gap to target, additional pipeline and deals needed, concentration risk from a single dominant deal, and whether the gap is closable this period or a next-period problem. - Use Case: At month-end, a founder asks "Target is $150k this quarter, one month left — will I make it?" The Skill reviews 14 open deals, finds coverage at 3.5x versus the 4x needed, flags two stalled proposal-stage deals, downgrades an unqualified negotiation deal, and commits an honest forecast of $85k with ranked recovery actions. ## Quick Start Ask the assistant to review your sales pipeline against this quarter's bookings target and produce a weighted forecast with flagged deals and recommended actions.
