research

Queries a market index service for base rates, resolution rules, and historical data.

Updated Feb 5, 2026
One-click install
npx skills add https://github.com/shreed27/DAIN --skill research-shreed27
Or copy as Structured Prompt for Agent
Please help me install this Agent Skill.
Skill: research
Source: https://github.com/shreed27/DAIN/tree/main/CloddsBot-main/src/skills/bundled/research
Command: npx skills add https://github.com/shreed27/DAIN --skill research-shreed27

SYSTEM DOCUMENTATION & REQUIREMENTS

💡 This Skill includes scripts (resource) components.

What problem does it solve?

This Skill helps users research prediction markets by providing base rates, resolution rules, and historical data, enabling more informed decision-making.

Core Features & Use Cases

  • Base Rate Lookup: Find historical probabilities for similar events.
  • Resolution Rules: Understand how a specific market's outcome is determined.
  • Historical Analogs: Discover past markets similar to current ones.
  • Use Case: A user can ask for the base rate of incumbent senators losing reelection, and the skill will provide historical data and relevant market examples.

Quick Start

Use the research skill to look up the base rate for incumbent senators losing reelection.

Frequently Asked Questions about research

High-intent search queries and answers about installing and using this skill.

FAQPage Schema
How do I find historical base rates for prediction market events?

You can retrieve base rates for prediction markets by querying a market index service for historical probabilities of similar past events. This skill searches market data and retrieves estimations to help you understand historical analogs.

What are prediction market resolution rules and how do I look them up?

Prediction market resolution rules define the exact criteria for determining a market's outcome. You can look up these detailed resolution criteria by querying the market index service with a specific market ID.

Can I find past prediction markets similar to current ones?

Yes, you can discover historical analogs by searching indexed market data for past events similar to current prediction markets. The skill utilizes database and embedding services to index and retrieve comparable historical market data.

Do I need database and embedding services to research prediction market data?

Yes, database and embedding services are required to index and search market data when researching prediction markets. These services enable the skill to accurately retrieve base rate estimations and historical analogs.

How do I get the base rate of incumbent senators losing reelection?

You can get the base rate of incumbent senators losing reelection by using the research skill to query the market index service. It retrieves historical data and relevant market examples for similar past political events.